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Yay! Oscar night! I've watched the Oscars every year since practically forever. And this year I managed to see all the best picture nominees again (after cramming a DVD viewing of Ray in this afternoon).

Best Picture
Will win: Million Dollar Baby
I'd vote for: Finding Neverland

Duh. One of my favorite actors in a film about one of my favorite authors? Yes, please.

Best Actor
Will win: Jamie Foxx, Ray
I'd vote for: Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland

This one's hard. They're all really very good. I've never liked Eastwood, but I found myself surprisingly fond of his character in M$B. Considering how predisposed I was *not* to like him, that's no mean feat. I'm a little puzzled why the Foxx backlash seems to be focusing on the fact that he's doing an imitation. But hello? Leo? Total Hughes impersonation. They're both mimicking celebrities and doing a damn fine job of it. I guess maybe a lot of people haven't seen enough footage of Hughes to realize how much Leo is *doing* him. (Hee!) But for me, it really comes down to a choice between Cheadle and Depp. Cheadle is amazing (that tie scene just KILLED me) and probably turned in the better performance, but I love me some Johnny, so in the end my vote would go to him. (Can't. Resist. The pretty.)

Best Actress
Will win: Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
I'd vote for: Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Those are the only two performances I've seen in this category (Maria is in my Netflix queue, I swear!). Swank was good (especially considering she didn't use a stunt double--those boxing sequences were truly impressive) and playing both an athlete and… well, I don't want to spoil anyone, but let's just say she gets a lot of Oscar bait material. But Winslet is a goddess in every single role she steps into and she puts all the sunshine in Eternal Sunshine. Kate's a fantastic actress and this is probably one of her best roles--it's no contest for me, really. But to quote cleolinda: "While (Swank) probably deserves it, we will still be plunged into a world where Hilary Swank has two Oscars and Kate Winslet has none." Woe.

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
I'd vote for: Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby

Come one, the man exudes genius, even in all those crappy movies he does with Ashley Judd. It's about time he got an Oscar. Plus, his chemistry with Eastwood is the real reason I liked Clint at all in M$B. I could have watched a whole movie just about those two old guys needling each other.

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
I'd vote for: Cate Blanchett, The Aviator

Cate may have been mimicking too, but she was freaking electric. The only times I didn't have the urge to check my watch during that film was when she was on screen.

Best Director
Will win: Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
I'd vote for: Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby

You know, absent Marc Forster (WTF people?), I'm surprisingly okay with Clint winning this. I'd rank M$B second among the Best Picture nominees. I've never seen any of Scorsese's "great" films, but then they've never appealed to me at all. And I was less than impressed by his efforts on The (Way-Too-Long) Aviator (couldn't you have cut anything, Marty?), so no sympathy vote from me.

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Charlie Kaufman, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
I'd vote for: Charlie Kaufman, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Look at me and the Academy, being all in sync (assuming I'm on track with my predictions). Actually, I'm tempted to pick The Incredibles for the win. It's got a decent chance be the first animated Original Screenplay winner.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Sideways
I'd vote for: David Magee, Finding Neverland

This is a rough category for me. I'm not really enthused about any of them. Before Sunset was brave and fascinating, but also pretty dull and painful in places. Sideways I've got mixed feelings about. M$B was good, but was that because of the script? I haven't seen Motorcycle Diaries yet, but I've got misgivings about a story that doesn't give a balanced perspective of Che. I really enjoyed Finding Neverland, but it took some serious liberties with Barrie's life and I'm not sure how much of it was Magee and how much came from Allan Knee's play. Nevertheless, I'd vote for the only film of the bunch that I'd actually want to watch again.

Animated Feature
Will win: The Incredibles
I'd vote for: The Incredibles

Yeah, so, moving on.

Art Direction
Will win: Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
I'd vote for: Finding Neverland

I've only seen two of these, and while The Aviator was pretty, I absolutely adored the art direction of the fantasy sequences in Finding Neverland.

Cinematography
Will win: The Aviator
I'd vote for: House of Flying Daggers

It ain't the jaw-dropping genius of the photography in Hero, but HoFD is still really damn pretty.

Costume
Will win: The Aviator
I'd vote for: What the heck do I know about costuming?

Documentary Feature
Will win: The Story of the Weeping Camel
I'd vote for: Seen none of them. Will most likely never see any of them. Whatever.

Documentary Short Subject
Will win: Autism is a World
I'd vote for: See above. But I'rooting for Sister Rose's Passion because it supposedly calls out Mel on the anti-semitism.

Film Editing
Will win: Million Dollar Baby
I'd vote for: Finding Neverland

Loved the transitions in and out of the fantasy sequences.

Foreign Language Film
Will win: The Chorus (France)
I'd vote for: None, because that's how many I've seen.

Make-Up
Will win: Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
I'd vote for: la la la la la…

Original Score
Will win: Jan A.P. Kaczmarek, Finding Neverland
I'd vote for: Jan A.P. Kaczmarek, Finding Neverland

Even though I did download the HP soundtrack because I really wanted the Double Double Toil and Trouble song (with singing frogs!).

Original Song
Will win: ''Believe'' from The Polar Express
I'd vote for: ''Accidentally in Love'' from Shrek 2

Okay, I *like* the Counting Crows song, but Oscarworthy? Bwah! Honestly, I think I could count on my fingers the sum total of original songs written for film that I *do* think are Oscarworthy. They should just jettison this category--it'd cut 20 minutes off the runtime of the show and eliminate a whole lot of silliness. Then again, we wouldn't get those rare lovely moments like Elliot Smith singing Miss Misery in 1998. And WHERE is the song from Hotel Rwanda? Hmmmmm? Stupid Academy and their pedestrian musical taste.

Short Film (Animated)
Will win: Lorenzo
I'd vote for: No idea, I'm just guessing now.

Short Film (Live Action)
Will win: 7:35 in the Morning
I'd vote for: Again with the guessing.

Sound Editing
Will win: The Incredibles
I'd vote for: The Incredibles

Because I'll always vote for Pixar in the technical categories if I can. Isn't this the category where lots of water is supposed to be the clincher? Not really a very wet year is it?

Sound Mixing
Will win: The Aviator
I'd vote for: The Incredibles

See above.

Visual Effects
Will win: Spider-Man 2
I'd vote for: Spider-Man 2

Because HP gave us the lamest-looking werewolf since Oz howled at the moon.

Comments

( 2 comments — Leave a comment )
em_meredith
Feb. 28th, 2005 01:27 am (UTC)
But Winslet is a goddess in every single role she steps into and she puts all the sunshine in Eternal Sunshine.

Amen. She was absolutely amazing in it. She's the only nominee I give a damn about tonight. I don't know why I'm staying up--I'm just going to be disappointed.
mcsister
Feb. 28th, 2005 01:49 am (UTC)
"While (Swank) probably deserves it, we will still be plunged into a world where Hilary Swank has two Oscars and Kate Winslet has none."

I'm not sure I want to live in a world like that. ;)
( 2 comments — Leave a comment )

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